US Withdraws from NATO Before 2027

CENTRAL BANK POLICY · MONETARY POLICY

Federal Reserve Achieves Unanimous Vote in June 2026 Policy Decision

The FOMC reaches full consensus on monetary policy for the first time in years, signaling strong agreement on the economic outlook and policy path forward.

35%

GEOPOLITICS · INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

Trump-Putin Summit in EU Before June 2026

A high-stakes meeting between Trump and Putin on European soil could reshape US-Russia relations, test EU unity, and trigger cascading effects across global security and energy markets.

35%

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE · TECHNOLOGY REGULATION

US Enacts Comprehensive AI Safety Bill with Training Restrictions Before 2027

Federal legislation imposing creation prohibitions and training restrictions on AI systems reshapes the US tech landscape, potentially ceding competitive advantage to less-regulated jurisdictions.

35%

GEOPOLITICS · ENERGY SECURITY

Pakistan Deploys Warships Through Strait of Hormuz by May 2026

Pakistani naval vessels transit the Strait of Hormuz, raising regional tensions and energy security concerns in a critical maritime chokepoint.

35%

Get the scenario of the week

US Withdraws from NATO Before 2027

Related scenarios