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The Bank of Canada maintains its policy rate instead of cutting by 25 basis points, signaling stronger-than-expected economic conditions and triggering currency and bond market volatility.
The Bank of Canada delivers an aggressive 50+ basis point rate cut, signaling a major shift toward monetary easing amid slowing growth and cooling inflation pressures.
A scenario where the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield climbs to 5.2%, driven by persistent inflation, aggressive Fed policy, or increased government borrowing.