Political realignment and EU normalization projected to drive currency appreciation, banking re-rating, and infrastructure shifts
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The resolution of the standoff with the European Commission and the unlocking of billions in frozen EU recovery funds is the primary catalyst for asset revaluation, impacting the HUF and sovereign yields.
Financial services (OTP) and broad infrastructure utilities stand to gain most from the removal of windfall taxes, normalization of regulatory environments, and influx of EU capital.
Yes, state-linked media, IT firms like 4iG, and construction companies heavily leveraged to current government procurement face extreme risk from potential contract rescissions and audits.
Expect a structural strengthening bias driven by EU fund inflows and FDI, though high volatility is certain during the initial coalition-building phase.
Energy incumbents like MOL face margin pressure due to the mandated shift away from Russian imports, leading to significant capital expenditure requirements to upgrade refinery operations.
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