Fiscal policy shift, corporate tax compression, and infrastructure-focused industrial policy.
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Markets anticipate a push for higher statutory corporate tax rates (potentially 28%+), which creates a direct headwind for EPS growth, especially for domestic-focused firms.
Big Pharma (e.g., LLY, PFE, MRK) face significant pressure on forward P/E multiples as the CMS expands negotiation frameworks beyond the original IRA standards.
Expect bear steepening of the yield curve, as sustained high deficit spending necessitates increased bond supply and pushes term premiums higher.
Policy will continue prioritizing grid modernization, nuclear renaissance, and renewable generation; winners include grid-fixers like Eaton (ETN) and nuclear leaders like Constellation (CEG).
Yes, high labor costs and increased NLRB enforcement will force retail and QSR chains to accelerate capital investment in robotics and AI-driven automation to protect FCF.
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