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Emerging Markets Scenarios

17 scenarios covering emerging markets scenarios. Analyze cascading impacts, investment opportunities, and affected assets.

May 10

What Happens to Peruvian Markets if Rafael Belaúnde Llosa Wins the 2026 Election?

Market re-rating via pro-market reforms, mining sector acceleration, and sovereign risk premium compression.

0%Impossiblehigh impact
19 impacts mapped0
May 10

What Happens If Yonhy Lescano Wins the 2026 Peruvian Election?

Populist risk premium triggers capital flight, mining sector re-rating, and currency volatility.

0%Impossiblehigh impact
18 impacts mapped0
May 10

What Happens to Brazilian Markets if Lula da Silva Wins in 2026?

Fiscal expansion, state-led industrial policy, and increased market volatility.

40%Likelyhigh impact
20 impacts mapped0
Apr 20

What Happens If Venezuela Holds Elections?

Market re-rating of Venezuelan sovereign debt and regional energy infrastructure shifts

75%Highhigh impact
17 impacts mapped0
May 10

What happens to Peruvian markets if Alfonso López Chau reaches the 2026 runoff?

Populist electoral surge triggers institutional volatility, mining sector scrutiny, and intense capital flight from domestic assets.

0%Impossiblehigh impact
16 impacts mapped0
May 10

What Happens If César Acuña Reaches the 2026 Peruvian Presidential Runoff?

Market volatility, capital flight risks, and the re-pricing of Peruvian sovereign and mining assets.

0%Impossiblehigh impact
18 impacts mapped0
May 10

What Happens to Peruvian Markets if Vladimir Cerrón Wins the 2026 Election?

Radical policy pivot threatens resource nationalism, capital flight, and systemic financial sector repricing.

0%Impossiblehigh impact
24 impacts mapped0
May 10

Impact of a Roberto Chiabra Presidency on Peruvian Markets

Institutional stabilization vs. security-driven fiscal and regulatory volatility

0%Impossiblehigh impact
19 impacts mapped0
May 10

What Happens to Peruvian Markets if Fiorella Molinelli Wins the 2026 Election?

Market-friendly technocracy meets latent structural risks in Peru's political landscape

0%Impossiblehigh impact
19 impacts mapped0
May 10

What Happens to Brazilian Markets if Jair Bolsonaro Wins the 2026 Election?

Market-friendly SOE re-rating, infrastructure privatization, and political risk premiums drive volatility.

0%Impossiblehigh impact
23 impacts mapped0
May 10

Market Implications of a Potential Camilo Santana 2026 Presidency

Balancing fiscal continuity with state-led developmentalism in the Brazilian market

2%Very Lowhigh impact
18 impacts mapped0
May 10

What Happens If Renan Santos Wins the 2026 Brazilian Election?

Economic liberalization sparks market re-rating, deregulation, and infrastructure focus.

5%Very Lowhigh impact
20 impacts mapped0
May 10

What Happens If Tarcisio de Freitas Wins the 2026 Brazilian Presidency?

Market pivot toward fiscal orthodoxy, institutional pragmatism, and infrastructure-led growth.

0%Impossiblehigh impact
16 impacts mapped0
May 9

What Happens If Péter Magyar Becomes Hungary's Prime Minister?

Political normalization and EU-alignment catalyst for Hungarian asset re-rating and CDS compression.

100%Highhigh impact
20 impacts mapped0
May 10

What Happens to Peruvian Markets if Rafael López Aliaga Wins in 2026?

Market-friendly reform rhetoric clashes with institutional gridlock and Sino-mining dependency

2%Very Lowhigh impact
19 impacts mapped0
Apr 15

Trump Tariffs Impact on Emerging Markets

Broad US tariffs trigger EM equity selloff, currency depreciation cascade across MXN/CNY/TRY, global supply chain reshuffling from China to Southeast Asia and India, and US consumer inflation reacceleration

78%Highhigh impact
25 impacts mapped0
Apr 15

China Yuan Devaluation Effects on Global Markets

Competitive devaluation triggers EM contagion cascade as commodity complex collapses 15-30%, capital flight reaches $500B-1T, and Asian currency architecture fractures under deflationary pressure

32%Moderatehigh impact
24 impacts mapped0