High Impact Scenarios
4 scenarios covering high impact scenarios. Analyze cascading impacts, investment opportunities, and affected assets.
May 10
What Happens If the US Withdraws from NATO by 2027?
Global security architecture collapses, triggering European defense hyper-growth and systemic flight to dollar-denominated assets.
8%Lowhigh impact
25 impacts mapped0
May 10
What Happens If Xi Jinping Exits Power Before 2027?
Global market shock characterized by massive capital flight, volatility in Chinese assets, and rapid global supply chain realignment.
6%Lowhigh impact
18 impacts mapped0
May 1
What Happens If the US Insurrection Act is Invoked?
Systemic volatility, flight to defensive assets, and structural erosion of US fiscal credibility
0%Impossiblehigh impact
18 impacts mapped0
Apr 15
What Happens to Oil Prices if Iran Closes the Strait of Hormuz?
A full closure removes 17-20 mbpd from global supply, triggering $150+ oil, LNG panic, stagflation, and the widest cross-asset dislocation since 1973
15%Lowhigh impact
25 impacts mapped0