What happens if Strait of Hormuz Daily Transits Fall Below 60

A reduction in Strait of Hormuz transits below 60 per day would signal severe disruption to the world's most critical energy chokepoint, through which roughly 21% of global petroleum passes. Recent US strikes against Iran elevate the probability of escalation. Such a scenario would trigger immediate oil price spikes, potentially pushing Brent above $120/barrel, while cascading into broader inflation pressures and supply chain disruptions across Asia and Europe.

A reduction in Strait of Hormuz transits below 60 per day would signal severe disruption to the world's most critical energy chokepoint, through which roughly 21% of global petroleum passes. Recent US strikes against Iran elevate the probability of escalation. Such a scenario would trigger immediate oil price spikes, potentially pushing Brent above $120/barrel, while cascading into broader inflation pressures and supply chain disruptions across Asia and Europe.